16–18 Jun 2025
Columbia University, Nevis Laboratories
America/New_York timezone

Interpretable time series foundation models for anomaly prediction in sPHENIX

18 Jun 2025, 11:30
15m
Nevis Science Center (Columbia University, Nevis Laboratories)

Nevis Science Center

Columbia University, Nevis Laboratories

Speaker

Tengfei Ma (Stony Brook University)

Description

This work introduces a new interpretable time series foundation model, and its application to anomaly prediction for sPHENIX - a recently commissioned detector at the RHIC facility at BNL. Our goal is to monitor the detector’s operational status, identify early warning signs, and predict potential anomalies. Despite diverse time series modeling techniques, existing models are black boxes and fail to provide insights and explanations about their representations. We present VQShape, a pre-trained, generalizable, and interpretable model for time-series representation learning and classification. By introducing a novel representation for time-series data, we forge a connection between the latent space of VQShape and shape-level features. Using vector quantization, VQShape encodes time series from diverse domains into a shared set of low-dimensional codes, each corresponding to an abstract shape in the time domain. codes, where each code can be represented as an abstracted shape in the time domain. This enables the model not only to predict anomalies but also to highlight important precursor patterns, offering explanations for its predictions.

Primary authors

Tengfei Ma (Stony Brook University) Xin Wang (Stony Brook University) Yunshi Wen (Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute)

Co-authors

Jin Huang (Brookhaven National Laboratory) Shuhang Li (Columbia University) Xihaier Luo (Brookhaven National Laboratory) Yihui Ren (Brookhaven National Laboratory)

Presentation materials